Thursday, 12 December, 2019

15:00 | Macro Research Seminar

Nicolas Werquin, Ph.D. (Toulouse School of Economics) “Taxes and Turnout”

Nicolas Werquin, Ph.D.

Toulouse School of Economics, France

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Authors: Felix Bierbrauer, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Nicolas Werquin

Abstract: We develop a model of political competition with endogenous platform choices of parties and endogenous turnout. A main finding is that a party that is leading in the polls has an incentive to cater primarily to the core voters of the opposing party. A party that is lagging behind, by contrast, has an incentive to cater to its own base. We analyze the implications for redistributive taxation and characterize the political weights that competing parties assign to voters with different incomes. Finally, we relate the comparative statics predictions of our model to the asymmetric demobilization strategy in the German elections in the era of Merkel.

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Full Text:  “Taxes and Turnout”