Monday, 12 September, 2016

08:00 | Special Event

Discovery Week for MA in Applied Economics

Students discover companies and organizations that have achieved impact in a variety of ways and work on short projects for these companies or organizations. Find out more about MA in Applied Economics

11:00 | Defense - PhD

Ján Palguta: “Economic Impact of Voting and Procurement Rules”

Dissertation Committee:
Randall K. Filer (chair)
Daniel Münich (local chair)
Libor Dušek
Filip Pertold
Gérard Roland

Abstract:

In the first chapter of this dissertation, I examine the impact of increasing the number of parties in political representation bodies on public spending and selection of politically-connected suppliers in public procurement. By exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in the vote share of parties near the representation threshold in Czech municipal elections, I find that municipalities having more parties represented in their councils allocate fewer procurements to corporate donors of political parties, attract more suppliers to procurement tenders and reduce procurement prices. The impact of broader party representation is pronounced in politically competitive councils, but is not related to whether marginally represented parties are incumbent or not.

The second chapter presents evidence of how policies that create opportunities to avoid open competition in procurement lead to the manipulation of procurement values. We exploit a policy reform in which public bodies were given autonomy to preselect potential contractors below newly defined discretionary thresholds. Manipulation is revealed through bunching of procurements just below the thresholds in construction works and services, and to a lesser degree, in goods. Among manipulated contracts, we document a threefold increase in the probability that procurements are allocated to anonymous firms, which can hide their owners. This sorting violates assumptions behind regression-discontinuity designs.

The third chapter explores strategic voting behavior of individuals in small collective decision-making bodies. I use computation-based simulationsto quantify the vulnerability of the ten most common voting rules to strategic voting manipulation. I study how the ability of the strategic voter to swing the voting outcome in her favor changes when she loses full information about other voters’ preferences. I find that Condorcet-consistent rules are most resistant to strategic voting, followed by elimination procedures and the simplest voting rules. The voting results can be more easily manipulated, when the size of the committee is smaller and more alternatives are considered. I find that aminimal reduction in strategic voter information about other voters’ preferences severely inhibits the possibility of strategic voting.


Full Text: “Economic Impact of Voting and Procurement Rules” by Ján Palguta

16:30 | Micro Theory Research Seminar

Terri Kneeland, Ph.D. (UCL) “Bounded Reasoning: Rationality or Cognition?”

Terri Kneeland, Ph.D.

University College London, United Kingdom


Authors: Amanda Friedenberg, Willemien Kets, and Terri Kneeland

Abstract: Limited reasoning about rationality is well understood to lead to important behavioral consequences. The literature has typically viewed such limited reasoning as an artifact of cognitive bound - loosely, an inability to reason about how the other player reasons, etc. However, in principle, subjects may not be willing to believe their opponent is “rational, believes rationality, etc. . ." even if the subject is capable of reasoning in this way. In this paper, we allow for the possibility that a subject's rationality bound may be lower than her cognitive bound: so two subjects with the same cognitive bound may have different rationality bounds. We develop an identifcation strategy that allows us to disentangle the cognitive bound from the rationality bound and to investigate the extent to which bounds on rationality are driven by bounds on cognition. Using the experimental data from Kneeland (2015), we show that rationality bounds are tighter than cognitive bounds. Rationality bounds are an important determinant of behavior, especially for subjects with high cognitive bound.


Full Text:  “Bounded Reasoning: Rationality or Cognition?”